— Bitcoin’s 50-, 100- and 200-day moving averages are approaching their first complete bullish stack since 2025, supporting the view that its three-month rebound has held.
— Bitcoin climbed more than 40% to $87,000 during the third quarter, although its recent progress has paused near $85,000 as the U.S. dollar firmed.
— Comparable moving-average stacks have at times preceded major rallies and at other times only brief gains, so bitcoin’s ability to stay above its 50-day average is now the critical test.
Bitcoin
Its 50-, 100- and 200-day simple moving averages are just one “crossover” away from a full bullish alignment, a condition in which the cryptocurrency’s short-, medium- and long-term trends all point upward simultaneously. It would be the first such setup since 2025.
That alignment occurs when the 50-day average sits above the 100-day average, and the 100-day average sits above the 200-day average. It is nearly in place.
As of this writing, the 50-day average, at $79,495, is clearly above the other two. Meanwhile, the 100-day average, currently at $79,493, is rising and close to overtaking the 200-day average at $79,539.
Once that happens, all three averages will be stacked in a sequence that reflects bullish momentum across all three time frames.
“That crossover would restore the order of 50-day above 100-day above 200-day for the first time since the previous alignment formed on June 24, 2025,” Vikram Subburaj, CEO of India-based FIU-registered Giottus exchange, told Decryptnews.
“That crossover would restore the order of 50-day above 100-day above 200-day for the first time since the previous alignment formed on June 24, 2025,” Vikram Subburaj, CEO of India-based FIU-registered Giottus exchange, told CoinDesk.
Traders use moving averages to gauge trend direction. When shorter-term moving averages sit above longer-term ones, it indicates that recent prices are stronger than older ones, a sign of upward momentum.
The approaching signal therefore suggests that bitcoin’s price recovery over the past three months is genuine. The token’s price has risen by more than 40% to $87,000 during the third quarter. Recently, the advance has stalled at around $85,000 amid a sustained uptrend in the U.S. Dollar Index.
“To put it plainly, the latest signal confirms that the recovery has endured,” Subburaj said.
Some earlier alignments marked the beginning of major rallies. One formed on Oct. 27, 2020, when BTC traded around $13,600, and remained intact until May 2021. By then, bitcoin had reached a then-record high above $64,000. Another, confirmed in early November 2023, stayed in place until May 2024, during which bitcoin more than doubled from roughly $35,000 to $73,000.
Other instances have been far less rewarding. The bullish alignment that formed in June 2025 lasted 97 days, but bitcoin gained only modestly, rising from about $106,000 to $112,000. A similar setup in June 2024 lasted just 20 days, and bitcoin fell about 10%.
“The crossover strengthens the trend case, but it does not guarantee its continuation,” Subburaj said. “The asset’s price behavior afterward will determine whether it becomes a sustained bull-market structure or another short-lived alignment.”
“The crossover strengthens the trend case, but it does not guarantee its continuation,” Subburaj said. “The asset’s price behaviour afterwards will determine whether it becomes a sustained bull-market structure or another short-lived alignment.”
He explained that the real test now is whether bitcoin’s spot price can continue to stay above its 50-day average.
“The more consequential test is whether Bitcoin can hold the 50-day average during a correction,” he said.
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